Traditional 401(k) vs. Roth 401(k): The Tax Timing Decision Matrix

Retirement / Tax Strategy

Traditional 401(k) vs. Roth 401(k): The Tax Timing Decision Matrix

๐Ÿ’ก Executive Summary

  • The Core Choice: Traditional 401(k) saves you taxes today. Roth 401(k) saves you taxes forever (on growth).
  • SECURE 2.0 Update: Roth 401(k)s no longer have RMDs (Required Minimum Distributions), making them equal to Roth IRAs for legacy planning.
  • The Match Rule: Employers can now contribute matching funds to your Roth account, but you must pay income tax on that match immediately.
โš ๏ธ THE “PEAK EARNING” RULE
If you are in your peak earning years (highest tax bracket of your life), the Traditional 401(k) deduction is mathematically hard to beat. Taking the tax break now at 35%+ is often better than paying 0% later when your income drops.

Choosing between a Traditional and Roth 401(k) is not just about preference; it is a mathematical bet on your future tax rate. With the SECURE 2.0 Act removing the RMD penalty for Roth accounts, the scales have tipped slightly, but the fundamental question remains: Pay Uncle Sam now, or later?

๐Ÿง Strategic Insight
Traditional: You assume your tax rate will drop in retirement (Tax Deferral).
Roth: You assume your tax rate will rise (or stay the same) in retirement (Tax Locking).

Net Wealth Scorecard

PROJECTED SPENDABLE WEALTH (AFTER TAX)
Roth 401(k) (Tax-Free Exit) $1.45M Net
Tax-Free
Traditional 401(k) (Taxed Exit) $1.08M Net

Feature Comparison Matrix

Feature Traditional 401(k) Roth 401(k)
Tax Benefit Reduces Current Income Tax-Free Withdrawals
Contribution Limit $23,500 + Catch-up $23,500 + Catch-up
Employer Match Pre-Tax (Standard) Taxable (New Option)
RMDs (Age 73) Mandatory None (New!)
“Do not overthink the perfect choice. The only wrong choice is missing the employer match. Secure the match first, then optimize for taxes.”
BMT designs for tax reality, not theory.